Middle Tennessee vs North Texas 12/3/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Middle Tennessee winning 43% of simulations, and North Texas 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Middle Tennessee commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. North Texas wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Benjamin Cunningham is averaging 57 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. Lance Dunbar is averaging 113 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NTEX -7 --- Over/Under line is 54

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